NFL win totals 2021

[PatsFan1283]

Not just trying to ingratiate myself to our new overlords but saw these dropped a few days ago and thought it was worth a post. Obviously couldn't come out until 17 games was official.

https://www.thelines.com/2021-nfl-win-totals-17-game-schedule/

Anything jump out?

 

[Avocado33]

Colts, Steelers, Bengals look like they will all be overs

Jags looks like an easy under at 6.5

Thats what jumps out at first glance of AFC teams

 

[PatsFan1283]

The first over/unders that jumped to me were in the same division.....Rams/9ers 10.5 is too high for both, pick 1 to go under and Seahawks over 9.5. Hawks offense crashed hard 2nd half last year but their defense was pretty solid after the horrible start with Dunlap acquisition and Adams healthy. Don't see their offensive problems carrying over too much either.

I like Bengals over but I did bet Jags +1100 to win that division a few weeks ago. Houston is barely gonna be an NFL team next year, they beat them 2x then just go 5-10 in the other 15 games and that over hits. That division is probably the worst now, Titans haven't had a good offseason and Colts are a major wildcard w/ Wentz. I could see Lawrence and an easy schedule getting them to 10-6 and winning the division similar to Luck in his rookie yr.

I like Washington over 8 as well, but I bet them +375 to win the division when FA started.

 

[seldomseen]

I'm leaning over on the Jags, Dolphins, Jets, and Broncos. Under on Ten, Sea, and Carolina

 

[CHOPTALK]

Eagles under 6.5 is gift

 

[azbob]

Agree on those NFL West unders. They don't get to feast again on the NFL East this coming year. I bet the Super Bowl loser under the total every year and that has been very profitable.

 

[PatsFan1283]

I'm leaning over on the Jags, Dolphins, Jets, and Broncos. Under on Ten, Sea, and Carolina

You like two teams in the same division over? Aren't you a BB > GOAT truther too? You're basically saying you think NE has > market probability to finish in last if you like those 2 teams over.

Why do you like under on Seattle? Best QB in division by far, best homefield hopefully returning as well

Agree Tenn had a bad offseason but 4 games vs JVille/Texans is some low hanging fruit so I'll probably stay away.

 

[azbob]

Seattle beat three teams with a winning record last year...that is one of the benefits of that NFL East schedule. Put that together with the offseason noise plus, from watching them, the offensive and defensive regression and this will be a big under for me. Pete Carroll isn't the messiah anymore. I would be very big on NE over given the offseason moves including the return of players who opted out. The one reason I can't make it a max play is the current QB.
I like the Giants over 7 a lot as I think the QB will be much better and the RB may stay healthy. Liked what they did last year especially since Philly is lost and there are the usual soon to be unfulfilled optimism on the Cowboys. Dak is not worth four games (6 to more than 9.5 wins).

 

[Mr_Mark]

Jets under 6.5
Dallas under 9.5
Giants over 7

 

[Avocado33]

The first over/unders that jumped to me were in the same division.....Rams/9ers 10.5 is too high for both, pick 1 to go under and Seahawks over 9.5. Hawks offense crashed hard 2nd half last year but their defense was pretty solid after the horrible start with Dunlap acquisition and Adams healthy. Don't see their offensive problems carrying over too much either.

I like Bengals over but I did bet Jags +1100 to win that division a few weeks ago. Houston is barely gonna be an NFL team next year, they beat them 2x then just go 5-10 in the other 15 games and that over hits. That division is probably the worst now, Titans haven't had a good offseason and Colts are a major wildcard w/ Wentz. I could see Lawrence and an easy schedule getting them to 10-6 and winning the division similar to Luck in his rookie yr.

I like Washington over 8 as well, but I bet them +375 to win the division when FA started.

You convinced me that the Jags going under 6.5 may not be as easy as I thought. I dunno though man. Yeah houston is gonna suck, but Jacksonville beating them twice is all but a lock. Very likely they split. The Jags just aren't good. And even if Lawrence is any good, they're still overall a pretty shitty team. Lawrence being good a tthe NFL level is itself a question. I highly doubt he turns out to be the best QB in this draft

NFL West is a stay away from me. Seems like all four of those teams will beat up on each other. I do like the Seahawks over the most because of their upgraded defense. But they gotta figure out the O-Line/Russell Wilson situation

And I agree on Washington. 9 or 10 win team IMO

 

[sharky99]

Jets under 6.5
Dallas under 9.5
Giants over 7

These look interesting Mr Mark

 

[REDEYE]

Bet these so far
Atl ov 7
Chi ov 7
Giants ov 7
Chargers ov 9